DET 123-103 WAS, March 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DET beat WAS 123-103, and DET's shots were worth 120.7 points to WAS's 110.7.

DET 123-103 WAS, March 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DET	104	112	108.8	11/15	11.8	123	120.7
WAS	92	87	95.1	16/20	15.5	103	110.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.