CLE 109-104 BKN, March 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CLE beat BKN 109-104, and CLE's shots were worth 123.8 points to BKN's 103.6.

CLE 109-104 BKN, March 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CLE8988104.421/2519.3109123.8
BKN849492.610/1411.1104103.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.