GSW 130-120 POR, March 10, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. GSW beat POR 130-120, and GSW's shots were worth 111.3 points to POR's 109.6.

GSW 130-120 POR, March 10, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSW	85	111	93.6	19/21	17.6	130	111.3
POR	91	106	96.7	14/17	13.0	120	109.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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