SAS 129-133 DAL, March 10, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DAL beat SAS 133-129, but SAS's shots were worth 123.5 points to DAL's 120.1.

SAS 129-133 DAL, March 10, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAS	94	115	105.2	14/24	18.3	129	123.5
DAL	88	106	96.1	27/30	24.0	133	120.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.