HOU 97-84 ORL, March 10, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. HOU beat ORL 97-84, but ORL's shots were worth 110.4 points to HOU's 106.2.

HOU 97-84 ORL, March 10, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HOU	89	86	92.8	11/18	13.4	97	106.2
ORL	86	64	92.0	20/24	18.5	84	110.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.