CHI 121-103 IND, March 10, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. CHI beat IND 121-103, but IND's shots were worth 123.8 points to CHI's 123.6.

CHI 121-103 IND, March 10, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHI	98	110	112.3	11/14	11.4	121	123.6
IND	101	90	109.1	13/19	14.7	103	123.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.