TOR 119-104 WAS, March 10, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. TOR beat WAS 119-104, and TOR's shots were worth 144.3 points to WAS's 127.5.

TOR 119-104 WAS, March 10, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	109	102	122.6	17/29	21.7	119	144.3
WAS	105	92	116.1	12/15	11.3	104	127.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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