MIA 102-105 CHA, March 10, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CHA beat MIA 105-102, and CHA's shots were worth 117.5 points to MIA's 110.2.

MIA 102-105 CHA, March 10, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	85	88	94.2	14/20	16.0	102	110.2
CHA	86	83	98.9	22/23	18.5	105	117.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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