ATL 132-123 PHI, March 10, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat PHI 132-123, and ATL's shots were worth 107.5 points to PHI's 104.0.

ATL 132-123 PHI, March 10, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	98	121	97.4	11/14	10.1	132	107.5
PHI	91	108	88.8	15/20	15.2	123	104.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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