POR 112-119 DET, March 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DET beat POR 119-112, but POR's shots were worth 123.9 points to DET's 122.2.

POR 112-119 DET, March 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
POR	93	87	99.0	25/32	24.9	112	123.9
DET	87	95	97.1	24/32	25.1	119	122.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.