PHI 126-122 UTA, March 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PHI beat UTA 126-122, and PHI's shots were worth 131.5 points to UTA's 127.6.

PHI 126-122 UTA, March 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHI	96	102	112.4	24/25	19.0	126	131.5
UTA	93	96	104.1	26/31	23.5	122	127.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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