NOP 104-107 MEM, March 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MEM beat NOP 107-104, and MEM's shots were worth 125.6 points to NOP's 113.2.

NOP 104-107 MEM, March 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	85	83	91.6	21/27	21.5	104	113.2
MEM	99	95	110.2	12/19	15.4	107	125.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.