OKC 127-103 DEN, March 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OKC beat DEN 127-103, and OKC's shots were worth 126.0 points to DEN's 116.9.

OKC 127-103 DEN, March 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OKC	94	105	105.5	22/25	20.5	127	126.0
DEN	97	92	101.3	11/20	15.6	103	116.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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