MIA 109-114 CHI, March 8, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CHI beat MIA 114-109, and CHI's shots were worth 124.1 points to MIA's 117.6.

MIA 109-114 CHI, March 8, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	97	95	102.8	14/19	14.8	109	117.6
CHI	88	91	102.8	23/26	21.3	114	124.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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