TOR 117-118 WAS, March 8, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. WAS beat TOR 118-117, and WAS's shots were worth 135.2 points to TOR's 130.0.

TOR 117-118 WAS, March 8, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	95	90	107.7	27/30	22.4	117	130.0
WAS	100	101	116.9	17/23	18.2	118	135.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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