LAC 105-95 NYK, March 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. LAC beat NYK 105-95, and LAC's shots were worth 107.7 points to NYK's 103.3.

LAC 105-95 NYK, March 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LAC888992.116/1915.7105107.7
NYK917989.016/1814.295103.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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