SAC 127-109 SAS, March 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. SAC beat SAS 127-109, but SAS's shots were worth 105.5 points to SAC's 104.5.

SAC 127-109 SAS, March 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAC	96	115	89.5	12/19	15.0	127	104.5
SAS	87	96	88.1	13/23	17.3	109	105.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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