DAL 111-122 MEM, March 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MEM beat DAL 122-111, but DAL's shots were worth 113.2 points to MEM's 107.3.

DAL 111-122 MEM, March 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	96	89	93.9	22/24	19.3	111	113.2
MEM	106	108	94.7	14/16	12.7	122	107.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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