TOR 118-109 UTA, March 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. TOR beat UTA 118-109, and TOR's shots were worth 141.3 points to UTA's 129.3.

TOR 118-109 UTA, March 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	104	94	119.1	24/28	22.3	118	141.3
UTA	84	86	99.9	23/39	29.5	109	129.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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