CHA 117-118 CLE, March 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CLE beat CHA 118-117, and CLE's shots were worth 126.8 points to CHA's 115.5.

CHA 117-118 CLE, March 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHA	92	101	98.3	16/21	17.2	117	115.5
CLE	76	75	85.8	43/51	41.1	118	126.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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