LAL 113-109 NYK, March 6, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LAL beat NYK 113-109, but NYK's shots were worth 124.0 points to LAL's 116.5.

LAL 113-109 NYK, March 6, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAL	89	90	94.8	23/28	21.7	113	116.5
NYK	94	84	98.3	25/32	25.7	109	124.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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