BKN 119-121 GSW, March 6, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. GSW beat BKN 121-119, and GSW's shots were worth 116.7 points to BKN's 107.2.

BKN 119-121 GSW, March 6, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BKN8710392.016/1815.2119107.2
GSW829290.929/3225.8121116.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.