LAC 123-115 DET, March 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LAC beat DET 123-115, but DET's shots were worth 111.1 points to LAC's 103.9.

LAC 123-115 DET, March 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAC	80	101	81.7	22/26	22.2	123	103.9
DET	86	101	96.5	14/19	14.6	115	111.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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