DEN 116-110 SAC, March 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat SAC 116-110, and DEN's shots were worth 117.5 points to SAC's 107.8.

DEN 116-110 SAC, March 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	87	92	93.0	24/30	24.5	116	117.5
SAC	96	99	96.1	11/14	11.7	110	107.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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