WAS 125-122 UTA, March 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. WAS beat UTA 125-122, and WAS's shots were worth 127.7 points to UTA's 121.9.

WAS 125-122 UTA, March 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
WAS95101105.224/2922.5125127.7
UTA101108107.014/2014.9122121.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.