CLE 112-107 MIA, March 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CLE beat MIA 112-107, and CLE's shots were worth 117.8 points to MIA's 113.1.

CLE 112-107 MIA, March 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CLE	87	96	100.2	16/22	17.6	112	117.8
MIA	83	85	93.7	22/25	19.3	107	113.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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