BOS 128-118 POR, March 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BOS beat POR 128-118, and BOS's shots were worth 110.7 points to POR's 106.5.

BOS 128-118 POR, March 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BOS	97	113	97.0	15/17	13.7	128	110.7
POR	90	106	93.4	12/17	13.2	118	106.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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