LAL 136-115 NOP, March 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. LAL beat NOP 136-115, and LAL's shots were worth 122.5 points to NOP's 118.7.

LAL 136-115 NOP, March 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAL	90	115	101.9	21/27	20.6	136	122.5
NOP	93	101	102.6	14/21	16.1	115	118.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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