PHX 119-117 LAC, March 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat LAC 119-117, but LAC's shots were worth 108.2 points to PHX's 103.7.

PHX 119-117 LAC, March 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	80	96	81.7	23/27	22.0	119	103.7
LAC	83	94	87.0	23/27	21.2	117	108.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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