MIN 126-112 PHI, March 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat PHI 126-112, but PHI's shots were worth 114.8 points to MIN's 105.2.

MIN 126-112 PHI, March 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	81	110	91.3	16/17	13.9	126	105.2
PHI	86	93	94.4	19/27	20.4	112	114.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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