ORL 113-114 TOR, March 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. TOR beat ORL 114-113, and TOR's shots were worth 111.2 points to ORL's 104.1.

ORL 113-114 TOR, March 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ORL	83	95	86.7	18/23	17.4	113	104.1
TOR	80	88	85.0	26/35	26.1	114	111.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.