DAL 98-122 SAC, March 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. SAC beat DAL 122-98, but DAL's shots were worth 103.1 points to SAC's 100.6.

DAL 98-122 SAC, March 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
DAL777784.421/2418.798103.1
SAC9011090.812/129.8122100.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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