OKC 137-128 HOU, March 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OKC beat HOU 137-128, and OKC's shots were worth 119.6 points to HOU's 108.0.

OKC 137-128 HOU, March 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OKC	97	113	97.5	24/27	22.0	137	119.6
HOU	101	114	94.7	14/17	13.3	128	108.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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