MIA 106-90 WAS, March 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIA beat WAS 106-90, but WAS's shots were worth 108.6 points to MIA's 106.2.

MIA 106-90 WAS, March 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	82	91	92.3	15/18	13.9	106	106.2
WAS	84	72	91.6	18/22	16.9	90	108.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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