LAL 108-102 LAC, March 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LAL beat LAC 108-102, but LAC's shots were worth 107.9 points to LAL's 100.3.

LAL 108-102 LAC, March 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAL	77	94	85.4	14/20	14.9	108	100.3
LAC	88	88	94.0	14/17	13.9	102	107.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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