UTA 121-128 NOP, March 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. NOP beat UTA 128-121, but UTA's shots were worth 113.4 points to NOP's 113.3.

UTA 121-128 NOP, March 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
UTA	96	108	100.5	13/17	12.9	121	113.4
NOP	102	121	103.4	7/13	9.9	128	113.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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