ORL 102-104 TOR, March 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. TOR beat ORL 104-102, and TOR's shots were worth 106.6 points to ORL's 101.5.

ORL 102-104 TOR, March 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ORL	67	67	69.6	35/42	31.9	102	101.5
TOR	80	81	84.6	23/30	22.0	104	106.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.