BOS 110-103 DEN, March 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BOS beat DEN 110-103, and BOS's shots were worth 105.2 points to DEN's 96.6.

BOS 110-103 DEN, March 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BOS	78	88	84.0	22/27	21.1	110	105.2
DEN	86	94	86.7	9/13	9.9	103	96.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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