DAL 117-132 MIL, March 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIL beat DAL 132-117, and MIL's shots were worth 126.3 points to DAL's 117.9.

DAL 117-132 MIL, March 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	91	97	97.1	20/25	20.8	117	117.9
MIL	87	101	100.2	31/35	26.2	132	126.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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