MEM 128-130 SAS, March 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAS beat MEM 130-128, and SAS's shots were worth 127.0 points to MEM's 118.6.

MEM 128-130 SAS, March 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MEM95111103.117/2015.5128118.6
SAS96114110.016/2217.0130127.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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