LAL 106-102 LAC, February 28, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LAL beat LAC 106-102, but LAC's shots were worth 102.8 points to LAL's 95.7.

LAL 106-102 LAC, February 28, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAL	80	89	79.4	17/22	16.3	106	95.7
LAC	87	87	85.6	15/21	17.2	102	102.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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