UTA 117-116 MIN, February 28, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. UTA beat MIN 117-116, but MIN's shots were worth 113.8 points to UTA's 111.1.

UTA 117-116 MIN, February 28, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
UTA	92	108	100.7	9/14	10.4	117	111.1
MIN	101	108	103.2	8/14	10.6	116	113.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.