PHX 125-108 NOP, February 28, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat NOP 125-108, but NOP's shots were worth 105.3 points to PHX's 96.2.

PHX 125-108 NOP, February 28, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	79	115	86.4	10/13	9.8	125	96.2
NOP	87	99	93.7	9/15	11.6	108	105.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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