CHI 125-115 TOR, February 28, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CHI beat TOR 125-115, and CHI's shots were worth 142.5 points to TOR's 134.0.

CHI 125-115 TOR, February 28, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHI	101	103	121.9	22/25	20.5	125	142.5
TOR	103	99	117.8	16/20	16.2	115	134.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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