MIA 125-120 IND, February 28, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIA beat IND 125-120, and MIA's shots were worth 99.4 points to IND's 98.2.

MIA 125-120 IND, February 28, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	84	113	89.2	12/13	10.2	125	99.4
IND	88	115	92.2	5/8	6.1	120	98.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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