ATL 119-135 OKC, February 28, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OKC beat ATL 135-119, and OKC's shots were worth 128.0 points to ATL's 119.3.

ATL 119-135 OKC, February 28, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ATL88101101.418/2317.9119119.3
OKC101125118.410/129.6135128.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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