DET 119-134 DEN, February 28, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DEN beat DET 134-119, but DET's shots were worth 130.2 points to DEN's 115.1.

DET 119-134 DEN, February 28, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DET	99	102	112.5	17/23	17.8	119	130.2
DEN	84	111	90.9	23/31	24.1	134	115.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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