LAL 111-102 MIN, February 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. LAL beat MIN 111-102, and LAL's shots were worth 124.8 points to MIN's 111.1.

LAL 111-102 MIN, February 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LAL827988.832/4636.1111124.8
MIN848290.520/2620.7102111.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.