PHX 116-124 NOP, February 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. NOP beat PHX 124-116, and NOP's shots were worth 121.8 points to PHX's 108.1.

PHX 116-124 NOP, February 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	94	108	100.2	8/10	7.9	116	108.1
NOP	104	117	113.2	7/12	8.6	124	121.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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