DAL 103-96 CHA, February 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DAL beat CHA 103-96, and DAL's shots were worth 117.4 points to CHA's 112.5.

DAL 103-96 CHA, February 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
DAL9791104.612/1612.8103117.4
CHA9887102.49/1310.196112.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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